IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#243
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.0	#141
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.8%	26.5%	14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	54.1%	80.9%	52.5%
.500 or above in Conference	79.9%	92.4%	79.1%
Conference Champion	20.2%	34.8%	19.3%
Last Place in Conference	1.7%	0.3%	1.8%

First Four	4.4%	3.2%	4.5%
First Round	12.6%	25.1%	11.8%
Second Round	0.5%	1.8%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	56	@ Butler	L	61-78	6%
Nov 12, 2019	89	@ SMU	L	62-75	11%
Nov 17, 2019	48	@ Mississippi St.	L	63-81	6%
Nov 24, 2019	183	@ Hawaii	L	66-72	30%
Dec 03, 2019	20	@ LSU	L	65-86	4%
Dec 18, 2019	286	Abilene Christian	W	69-64	68%
Dec 21, 2019	186	@ Sam Houston St.	L	67-73	31%
Dec 28, 2019	26	@ Memphis	L	70-90	4%
Jan 02, 2020	281	Lamar	W	74-69	68%
Jan 04, 2020	290	Stephen F. Austin	W	73-67	68%
Jan 08, 2020	284	Central Arkansas	W	78-73	67%
Jan 11, 2020	344	@ Incarnate Word	W	73-67	70%
Jan 15, 2020	292	@ Houston Baptist	L	81-82	49%
Jan 18, 2020	316	McNeese St.	W	74-66	74%
Jan 22, 2020	291	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	65-66	49%
Jan 25, 2020	309	Nicholls St.	W	77-70	72%
Jan 29, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	77-64	85%
Feb 01, 2020	299	@ SE Louisiana	W	67-66	51%
Feb 08, 2020	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	70-71	49%
Feb 12, 2020	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	75-76	48%
Feb 15, 2020	344	Incarnate Word	W	76-64	84%
Feb 22, 2020	316	@ McNeese St.	W	71-69	56%
Feb 26, 2020	291	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	68-62	68%
Feb 29, 2020	309	@ Nicholls St.	W	74-73	53%
Mar 04, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	W	74-67	70%
Mar 07, 2020	299	SE Louisiana	W	70-64	70%
Projected Record						13 - 13	13 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.0	2.9	4.8	5.0	3.8	1.9	0.6		20.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.8	4.4	5.1	3.1	1.2	0.2	0.0			16.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.9	4.5	4.3	1.6	0.3	0.0					12.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.4	4.2	3.3	1.1	0.1	0.0						10.2	4th
5th										0.0	0.9	3.7	3.1	0.8	0.1								8.7	5th
6th									0.0	0.6	2.7	3.2	0.9	0.1									7.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.0	2.9	0.9	0.1										6.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.5	2.7	0.9	0.1											5.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	0.9	2.2	1.0	0.1												4.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.0	0.1													3.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0													2.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0														1.8	12th
13th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0															0.9	13th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.5	2.3	3.4	5.2	6.4	7.7	9.6	10.5	10.6	10.8	9.8	8.3	6.2	4.0	1.9	0.6			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
19-1	98.1%	1.9		1.8	0.1
18-2	93.9%	3.8		3.4	0.4	0.0
17-3	81.1%	5.0		3.9	1.0	0.1
16-4	58.6%	4.8		2.9	1.6	0.4	0.0
15-5	30.0%	2.9		1.1	1.3	0.5	0.1
14-6	9.1%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	20.2%	20.2		13.7	4.9	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.6%		65.0%	65.0%		13.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		0.2
19-1	1.9%		56.3%	56.0%	0.4%	14.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.8		0.8%
18-2	4.0%		48.2%	48.2%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.2	2.1
17-3	6.2%		39.8%	39.8%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	0.8	3.7
16-4	8.3%		33.9%	33.9%		15.5														0.0	0.2	1.0	1.5	5.5
15-5	9.8%		23.3%	23.3%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	7.5
14-6	10.8%		17.7%	17.7%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.7	8.9
13-7	10.6%		9.5%	9.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	9.6
12-8	10.5%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.0
11-9	9.6%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.3
10-10	7.7%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.6
9-11	6.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
8-12	5.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
7-13	3.4%																							3.4
6-14	2.3%																							2.3
5-15	1.5%																							1.5
4-16	0.7%																							0.7
3-17	0.4%																							0.4
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.8%	14.8%	0.0%	15.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	4.5	7.7	85.2		0.0%